“These past several months have been characterized by increased volatility and movement...”
These past several months have been characterized by increased volatility and movement driven by geopolitical uncertainty, shifting monetary policy expectations, and rapidly changing market sentiment. Markets reacted strongly to the nomination of Kevin Warsh, who would replace Jerome Powell as the new Chair of the Federal Reserve, introducing new uncertainty around interest rate and inflation policies. Concurrently, escalating geopolitical tensions, including disputes between the Trump administration and the EU regarding Greenland had further shifted global sentiment.
Amidst this growing uncertainty, safe havens such as gold and silver have failed to provide stability. After reaching all-time highs, buyers began to sell off their positions aggressively, with gold and silver declining 10% and 30% respectively. Against the uncertainty, our strategy for this first week of February focused on high-quality equities and defensive hedges, guided by macroeconomic data, technical analysis, and confirmation led by our personal research and MarketCrunchAI insights.
PLTR:
On February 4th, Palantir experienced a sharp intraday sell-off, plummeting from $155.85 at market open to a low near $135.73 by 10 am. During this bearish move, we entered into the market, purchasing 1515 PLTR shares at an average price of $135.60 as the stock began to rebound. This move occurred as a result of broader weaknesses regarding the AI trade and its market valuation. As headlines of the “AI bubble” resurfaced, investors began to reassess whether PLTR’s stock was overvalued. As a result, over the course of January, PLTR has been on a bearish decline. However, we see this only as a minor correction within a macro bullish structure.
Looking at PLTR fundamentally, its underlying business remains strong, delivering strong results. PLTR delivered surprising Q4 2025 earnings, which includes 70% year-over-year revenue growth and an adjusted earnings per share of $0.25, which beat analyst expectations. Moreover, there is ongoing revenue from long term government contracts still intact. Sentiment and news analysis remains bullish, positioning PLTR’s software and AI infrastructure as important in AI’s future. Moreover, there is ongoing momentum from long term government contracts. Sentiment and news analysis have remained bullish, positioning PLTR as a software and AI infrastructure company with long-term growth potential. We view the current structure to be an internal bearish structure, and not a trend reversal, against the larger bullish external structure.
After hitting a key resistance zone at $125.08 on February 5th, PLTR has experienced a sharp rebound the following day. As of right now, our position has depreciated by -0.51%; however, we are confident that in the coming months, Palantir’s stock will correct.
TSLA:
Alongside PLTR, we have also invested 1200 shares into Tesla on February 4th. Despite technical analysis showing TSLA to be bearish, we are anticipating a future bullish reversal due to a number of reasons. Like PLTR, we anticipate that this is only a minor pullback, not the overall external structure. Recent news sentiment for TSLA remains bullish. There is a growing optimism about the long-term potential of Tesla’s robotaxi business, Full Self Driving software, and robotics, and that the dip is presenting a strategy buying opportunity. Tesla’s energy storage and solar business also continues to grow with double digit gains as well. Tesla also has long-term growth potential with growing global EV adaptation, autonomy and robotaxi, and AI and data platform development integrated with vehicles and robotics.
Looking at TSLA’s performance this week, we can see that there was a heavy selling pressure driving the price from $426 to $388 on February 5th. On the following day, TSLA’s stock rose to $411, rising above our position at $403.83. Our position has grown by 1.80% within the span of two days. We are looking to hold our Tesla position long term, waiting for the stock to correct and return to its previous high of $494 in December.
SNDK:
SanDisk was also added to the portfolio as well to gain exposure to memory and storage infrastructure, which is a critical backbone for AI. We have invested 1000 shares of SanDisk on February 4th at an average entry of $589.14. We entered because of the larger macro trends favoring a continued growth for AI software, computing, and storage. Despite short-term pullbacks within the semiconductor market, the long term structure remains stable.
SanDisk reported extremely strong Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings, exceeding Wall Street expectations. The company posted approximately $3.03 billion in revenue, showing about 31% in growth sequentially, as well as non-GAAP earnings per share of $6.20, above analyst expectations of $3.30-$3.50. These results showed a sharp increase in profitability and demand for SanDisk’s storage for AI.
The market reacted positively to SanDisk’s performance. Following the report, SanDisk shares surged in after-hours trading on January 29th, rising from approximately $539.30 to $619, a 14.8% within the span of 30 minutes. This move validated our pre-market analysis via MarketCrunchAI. A key driver behind SanDisk’s recent performance was artificial intelligence related demands. As AI workloads expand, data centers require increasingly advanced and efficient memory, storage, and processing capabilities. SanDisk has been a big beneficiary of this trend, providing storage layers for NVIDIA-powered AI systems as well as within autonomous vehicles (camera, LiDAR, and radar data) to store memory.
As a result of these factors, our position on SanDisk, our position has grown 1.49% within a span of two days. We will continue to hold onto our SanDisk position with hopes it will continue to rise in the coming months.
CVX:
Chevron (CVX) was added to the portfolio as a defensive hedge against the heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. Historically, when macro conditions are unstable and geopolitical headlines surrounding oil surfaces, energy stocks like Chevron perform particularly well.
Chevron is a stock that is reliable as it has generated consistent cash flow and has continually increased its dividends for 39 consecutive years. The company’s forward dividend yield is about 4.5%. For potential shareholders, its conservative capital strategy and reliable dividend growth is especially attractive. The reason why it matters is that during market stress, consistent dividends and cash flow can act as a defensive mechanism on total return, delivering cash despite short-term price swings. Chevron’s dependability was a major factor as to why we wanted to invest.
Over the past week, CVX experienced a slight pullback on February 5th, but on the following day rebounded to its previous high at $181. As of right now, our position has deprecated by -0.02%. We believe that CVX’s price will continue to grow following its current bullish trajectory.
JPM:
JPMorgan Chase (JPM) was added to the portfolio as a high-quality financial anchor. In a time in the market where there is heavy uncertainty and volatility, balance sheet strength, scale, and earnings matter greatly. JPM is a stock that possesses these characteristics.
The primary reason behind why we wanted to invest in JPM was its balance sheet. JPMorgan is regarded as one of the strongest, best-run banks in the world and holds one of the strongest capital positions among U.S. financial institutions. Its business model is supported by a conservative and disciplined risk management foundation, which investors look towards. Moreover, JPM has multiple sources of revenue streams, which spans from consumer banking, credit cards, corporate and commercial lending, and investment banking to name a few. A key advantage within JPM’s investment banking division is its leading underwriting platform. JPM is one of the world’s top underwriters of equity and debt, helping companies raise capital through IPOs, secondary offerings, and bond issuances. For these reasons, we have decided to purchase 1,295 shares of JPM on February 4th at an average entry of $316.13.
On a technical standpoint, JPM retains a bullish structure. In the 1 hour time frame, the 50 Day EMA crossed the 200 Day EMA, signaling a buy trend. Moreover, on Friday, February 6th, the stock surged from $312 to $322, breaking Wednesday’s highs. We see JPM’s current market position as a long term investment that will eventually break past previous highs at $335, which were January’s highs. As of right now, our position on JPM has grossed 1.98 % in a span of two days. We expect this percentage to rise as JPM’s stock rises with it.
This concludes our recap of our current positions for February. We appreciate your engagement, and look forward to informing you of our future positions on our portfolio. Thanks!
Written by Titus Cheng
Triton Trading Group
VP of Product Management